While the bar patron savoured a double martini, an attractive women sat down next to him. The bartender served her a glass
of orange juice, and the man turned to her and said, "This is a special day. I'm celebrating."
"I'm celebrating, too," she replied, clinking glasses with him.
"What are you celebrating?" he asked.
"For years I've been trying to have a child," she answered, "Today my gynaecologist told me I'm pregnant!"
"Congratulations," the man said, lifting his glass.
"As it happens, I'm a chicken farmer, and for years all my hens were infertile. But today they're finally fertile."
"How did it happen?"
"I switched cocks."
"...What a coincidence," she said, smiling.
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THIS ISSUE: POKER--A WAY TO APPROXIMATE ODDS
by Clonie Gowen
It is very difficult to calculate the exact odds of hitting a drawing hand when you're sitting at the poker table. Unless
you're a genius with a gift for mathematics like Chris Ferguson, you will not be able to do it. That leaves two options for
the rest of us: The first option is to sit at home with a calculator, figure out the odds for every possible combination of
draws, and then memorize them. That way, no matter what situation comes up, you always know the odds. But for those of us
without a perfect memory, there's an easier way. Here is a simple trick for estimating those odds.
The first thing you need to do is to figure out how many "outs" you have. An "out" is any card that gives you a made hand.
To do this, simply count the number of cards available that give the hand you are drawing to. For example: suppose you hold
Ac 8c and the flop comes Qh 9c 4c. You have a flush draw. There are thirteen clubs in the deck and you are looking at four
of them -- the two in your hand, and the two on the board. That leaves nine clubs left in the deck, and two chances to hit
one.
The trick to figuring out the approximate percentage chance of hitting the flush is to multiply your outs times the number
of chances to hit it. In this case that would be nine outs multiplied by two chances, or eighteen. Then take that number,
multiply times two, and add a percentage sign. The approximate percentage of the time you will make the flush is 36%. (The
exact percentage is 34.97%.) Now let's say that on that same flop you hold the Jd Th. In this case you would have an open
ended straight draw with eight outs to hit the straight (four kings and four eights). Eight outs with two cards to come gives
you sixteen outs. Multiply times two and you will hit the straight approximately 32% (31.46% exactly) of the time.
One important thing to keep in mind is that the percentage stated is merely the percentage of the time that you will hit the
hand you are drawing to, NOT the percentage of time that you will win the pot. You may hit your hand and still lose. In the
first example, the Qc will pair the board and may give somebody a full house. In the second example both the Kc and the 8c
will put a possible flush on the board, giving you the straight, but not necessarily the winning hand. Still, knowing the
approximate likelihood of making your hand is a good beginning step on the road to better poker.
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... A man and his wife entered the dentist's office.
"I want a toothpulled, "the man said. "We are in a big hurry, so let us not fool around with gas or Novocain or any of that
stuff."
"You are a very brave man," remarked the dentist. "Which tooth is it?"
"Show him your bad tooth, honey," said the man to his wife.
Don't drink & drive. You might hit a bump & spill your beer.
